Daily Market Report Apr 16

Daily Market Report – April 16, 2025

The cryptocurrency market experienced a moderate pullback in the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping 1.40% to $83,760 and Ethereum (ETH) falling 1.53% to $1,600.41. BTC recorded a high of $86,458.56 and a low of $83,089.62 during the day, while ETH ranged between $1,661.20 and $1,576.82. With the dip in prices, overall market sentiment is still negative, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 29, indicating a sentiment of “Fear.” Futures liquidations totaled $31.07 million over the 24-hour period, suggesting slightly increased volatility.

The global long/short ratio data reveals a nearly even split in market positioning. For Bitcoin, 49.66% of trades were longs while 50.34% were shorts. Ethereum showed similar behavior, with 49.71% of traders going long and 50.29% going short, underscoring an ongoing battle between bulls and bears. On the altcoin front, OM led the top gainers with a 20.26% rise, followed by MIAO up 19.62%, and ANIME climbing 14.91%, reflecting strong activity in selected tokens despite the broader pullback.

On the news front, the total value locked (TVL) across the blockchain ecosystem remained unchanged from the previous day at $90.793 billion. The on-chain market continues to show signs of recovery, with notable developments in the Solana ecosystem. The game token DARK is expected to launch soon with a current market value of $15 million. Meanwhile, FUR saw a sharp rise to 6 million in value before correcting back to 3 million. A new token, ESIM, was also discovered, now valued at 3.7 million. Analysts are advising increased attention to Solana-based projects.

Institutional involvement continues to grow, with Japanese-listed company Value Creation announcing plans to purchase an additional 100 million Japanese yen worth of Bitcoin. In the tech world, OpenAI has revealed plans to launch a new social networking platform modeled after X (formerly Twitter), signaling further convergence between AI and Web3 technologies.

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Cryptocurrency & Web3 Highlights

Bitcoin Initially Holds Above $85K Amid Mixed Altcoin Sentiment

Bitcoin (BTC) held steady above $85,000 before falling back to 83,000, continuing to show some resilience amid broader market uncertainty. Ethereum (ETH) remained stable above $1,600 before falling into the $1,500 range. However, altcoins like XRP and ADA saw modest pullbacks, mirroring investor caution tied to macroeconomic and regulatory developments.

Vitalik Buterin Highlights Crypto’s Humanitarian Role

A new documentary, Vitalik: An Ethereum Story, premiered April 15, spotlighting Ethereum’s impact in crisis zones. The film features Buterin in Kyiv, discussing how crypto enabled over $100 million in aid to Ukraine, reinforcing blockchain’s utility beyond finance.

Web3 Infrastructure Gets Boost from MIT-Backed Optimum

MIT-incubated startup Optimum raised $11 million to build a decentralized memory layer for Web3, aiming to improve data flow and storage scalability across blockchain ecosystems.

Solana Ecosystem Sees Creative Expansion

3D Alchemy launched an AI-powered dApp on Solana that generates 3D models from text or image prompts, offering a new creative tool for Web3 developers. Meanwhile, the Web3 social movement PAWS launched its Token Generation Event, pushing forward Solana-based community engagement.

Philippines Pushes for Crypto Adoption

Philippine financial institutions ramped up crypto-based offerings, including spot Bitcoin ETFs, to broaden access and drive digital asset adoption across the region’s growing investor base.

AI-Blockchain Convergence Gains Traction

Industry experts are increasingly focused on the fusion of agentic AI and blockchain, envisioning autonomous crypto trading agents and decentralized AI systems that could redefine digital interaction in Web3.


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International Macroeconomic Highlights

U.S. Consumer Concerns Deepen Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Recent surveys indicate that 72% of U.S. households are increasingly worried about a potential recession, with a majority across political affiliations believing that the newly imposed tariffs will negatively impact the economy. This growing unease is reflected in consumer behavior, as many anticipate higher prices and adjust their spending accordingly.

Federal Reserve Signals Caution on Rate Hikes

In light of the economic uncertainties stemming from recent trade policies, Federal Reserve officials have adopted a more cautious stance regarding future interest rate hikes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller acknowledged that while tariffs may have a negative economic impact, the inflationary effects are expected to be transitory. This perspective has contributed to a slight easing in Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield decreasing to 4.35%. ​

China’s Q1 GDP Growth Surpasses Expectations Amid Trade Tensions

China reported a 5.4% year-on-year GDP growth for the first quarter of 2025, exceeding analysts’ expectations. However, the ongoing trade war with the United States has cast a shadow over the outlook, prompting concerns about sustained economic momentum and increasing pressure on Beijing to implement further stimulus measures. ​

Airlines Adjust Operations in Response to Economic Slowdown

United Airlines announced plans to reduce its domestic flight capacity by approximately 4% starting in July 2025, citing anticipated weaker travel demand amid growing economic uncertainty. This decision follows similar moves by other major carriers as the industry braces for a potential slowdown. ​Business Insider

Oil Demand Forecast Revised Downward

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has downgraded its global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 by 30%, attributing the revision to escalating trade tensions and their dampening effect on economic activity. This adjustment reflects broader concerns about the impact of protectionist policies on global energy consumption.


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U.S. Equity Market Recap

Markets Experience Modest Fluctuations Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty

On April 15, U.S. stock markets exhibited modest movements as investors navigated ongoing trade policy uncertainties. The S&P 500 declined by 0.2% to close at 5,396.63, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% to 40,368.96, and the Nasdaq Composite edged down less than 0.1% to 16,823.17. The Russell 2000 index, representing smaller companies, saw a slight increase of 0.1% to 1,882.92.

Corporate Earnings Highlight Mixed Results

Bank of America reported strong first-quarter earnings, with shares rising nearly 2% following the announcement. Johnson & Johnson also exceeded Q1 forecasts and raised its full-year sales outlook, though its shares declined 1% in premarket trading.

Trade Tensions Impact Specific Sectors

Boeing shares fell 3.5% in premarket trading after reports indicated that China instructed its airlines to halt new jet deliveries and cease purchasing U.S. parts, citing high costs due to retaliatory tariffs. Conversely, carmaker shares globally surged after President Trump hinted at temporary exemptions from new vehicle tariffs, benefiting manufacturers like Stellantis, Hyundai, Toyota, and Honda.

Investor Sentiment Remains Cautious

Despite some positive corporate earnings, investor sentiment remains cautious due to the unpredictable nature of U.S. trade policies. Analysts note that the recent “death cross” pattern in the S&P 500 has raised concerns about a potential long-term downtrend.

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Michael Crag